Year-End Market Summary
2025
The 2025 Housing Market Overview
The U.S. housing market navigated a challenging landscape throughout 2025. Mortgage rates remained elevated compared with recent years, and home prices continued to rise nationwide. Demand for affordable housing far outpaced supply, and with fewer buyers able to keep up with rising costs, sales of previously owned homes were subdued. Younger buyers faced steep hurdles as high rents, inflation, and student loan debt limited their ability to save for a down payment. By mid-2025, first-time buyers accounted for just 21% of all home purchases, while the typical age of a first-time buyer reached a record high of 40, according to the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR). This aging trend extended across the broader market, as the median age of all homebuyers reached 59. NAR data show that homeowners also set a record, staying in their homes a median of 11 years before selling.
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List Price Received
2026 Housing Market Outlook
Looking ahead to 2026, experts are forecasting an improvement in market activity. Mortgage rates declined through the second half of 2025 and are expected to stay in the 6% range in the year ahead, supporting incremental gains in affordability. As inventory builds, sales volume is projected to increase. Economists anticipate modest price gains, well below the rapid appreciation of recent years. While conditions should become somewhat more favorable for buyers, affordability constraints and the effects of a decade-long supply shortfall will continue to shape the market. Taken together, these trends suggest 2026 will be a year of stabilization and recovery, rather than dramatic change.
Current as of January 13, 2026. All data from the San Francisco Association of REALTORS® MLS. Report © 2025 ShowingTime.
CalRE# - 01908304. Northern California
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